Are we experiencing Philadelphia’s biggest development boom in almost 50 years?

Billy Penn
Fantastic shot courtesy of BillyPenn.com

 

In my professional opinion maybe. Since I’ve only been alive since ’79, it’s kind of hard for me to say.

Here is what I will say. No matter how experienced you are as an agent, no matter how long you have been selling Philadelphia real estate, it’s very difficult for anyone to give a straight answer to that question or predict the future of the local market.

But … when you have someone who is as experienced and credible as Alan Greenberger (Philadelphia’s current Deputy Mayor for Economic Development & Director of Commerce) say that he has not seen a boom like this since ’74 (the year he moved from NYC to PHL), you know that something unique is currently happening in the City of Brotherly Love.

So, how is 2015 any different than the last real estate wave that ended in 2008? The answer, global awareness of Philadelphia’s affordability and accessibility.

As I have stated in the past, Philadelphia is not one of the most affordable cities in the US, but we are one of the largest and most affordable cities in the “Northeastern” US. On top of that, we are a Top US global gateway metro, with our neighbor NYC being the largest. “The Northeast” is the most economically developed, densely populated, and culturally diverse region in the entire US. There is more urbanized land than any other part of the country, and we also enjoy large amounts of forest-use/green space (about 60% in total, which is about twice the US average). From just Pennsylvania to Maine, the area is home to over 55M people.

When you are located right in between the Financial Capital of the US (NYC, which in 2014 was also named the “World’s Leading Financial Centre”) and the Political Capital of the US (DC, or course), you are guaranteed to receive some attention. Now that Philadelphia has really begun to come into its own, with Center City, University City, and the Navy Yard all leading the charge, the world now has its eyes on us.

And when they get here, they will realize just how affordable and accessible Philadelphia really is!

Based on the city’s size, as well as the size of the surrounding suburban metro area, you can get almost anywhere using a form of public transportation (i.e. train, subway, or bus). Now that Uber has entered the Philadelphia transportation market, it’s even easier. This is due to the metro area’s compactness, which is a product of density and smart planning over the last 300+ years.

Okay, back to Greenberger.

This article states that he sees the current real estate boom in Philadelphia continuing for the next 5-10 years, although maybe not at the same pace throughout that entire time frame. There are still many highly accessible areas in both North/South Philadelphia that have yet to be touched by redevelopment/reimagination from the millennial generation, as these are the folks that are making cities like Philadelphia great again.

Just like the Market-Frankford Line has redefined neighborhoods like Northern Liberties, Fishtown, and Kensington, the Broad Street Line has the same potential.

It will be interesting to see what happens over the next 5-10 years, and if Greenberger’s prediction is right. Either way, it’s a very exciting time to be living in Philadelphia.

Welcome to Philadelphia’s “New Boom”

Photo courtesy of Chris Sembrot | PhillyMag.com

 

Let’s start this one off with a question.

What exactly was the “Old Boom?”

Well, pretty much everything during the last real estate wave and up until the real estate wave tumbled in 2008. Some refer to this time in history as the “real estate bubble” or “housing crash.” It was a time when money was easy to come by, the mortgage/loan qualification process was extremely lenient, and almost anybody had the opportunity to buy a piece of real estate; just by trying. Needless to say, that approach caused some major problems for the US’ housing industry.

Fast forward to today, 2015. The stock market is at an all-time high, the job market is decent (but wages/raises could be better), and real estate is now the subject of conversation again.

Should I buy a home?

Renting gives me so much flexibility.

What if I decide to relocate?

But before this moment in time hit, as many people never thought housing would come back as strong as it has (post-2008), investors and developers were planning for it. Land was cheap, construction costs were low, jobs were needed, and opportunities were present. This is why there is such a flurry of activity in Philadelphia today.

So, why call it a “New Boom?” Isn’t there a negative connotation associated with that phrase?

Actually, no.

If anything, Philadelphians should be excited when they hear it. Since the housing slowdown began in 2008, there has been a lot of uncertainty about real estate. Because this uncertainty set in, many people chose to rent; but the cost to rent has increased drastically over the past 7 years. Now that development has started to pick back up, it is bringing more local jobs with it as well. Construction jobs, restaurant jobs, retail jobs, tourism jobs, and so on and so forth.

Philadelphia is experiencing some big and positive changes right now: New residents, new buildings, reinvigorated neighborhoods, and national/international recognition. The best part is, these changes are happening all over the city! It’s always exciting to hear that your home town is growing, and even more exciting when that news spreads across the globe. Pope Francis, the DNC, you know what I’m talking about.

Although we have lots of great news to celebrate, there are still some lingering issues: Crime, poor public schools, business tax structure, etc. So please know that I am not trying to brush those issues aside.

If you know me or have ever met me, I am an optimist. It’s just how I think, how I’m wired, and how I was born to look at the world. I believe in the Golden Rule. I also believe that “For every negative, there is a positive;” which is kind of my motto. So it goes to show that I see this article as another positive step forward for Philadelphia, and that the right development and projects will bring even more positive change with it.

Okay, let’s get down to business, PUL-style.

As stated in the article, Philadelphia has gone through drastic changes before: One Liberty Place became the first Philadelphia skyscraper to actually look down on William Penn’s head (…and not up at it), Society Hill changed for the better, and Center City started to redefine our city.

This PhillyMag.com article showcases 8 different Trends that are responsible for Philadelphia’s New Boom. Here are the 3 that I like best:

1. “The Luxification of Center City” (Trend #3): Recently, I wrote a blog post titled, “Philadelphia’s housing stock gets a boost in luxury.” That is why this trend rings so true to me. As a whole, Philadelphia is an affordable city based on its size, its location, and its quality of life. If the motto for making a sound real estate decision is “location, location, location” then Philadelphia has this one down. So if I’m comparing/contrasting Philadelphia to make this statement, you do not have to look much further than Philadelphia’s Northeastern US neighbors to understand why I am doing so: New York City, Washington DC, and Boston. All 3 of those metropolises offer plentiful real estate options in the luxury category, more than in the City of Brotherly Love, but not all of them have as much to offer as Philadelphia does. Our city is the 2nd largest in the Northeastern US (behind New York) and 5th largest in the US, we have one of the largest downtowns in the US (again, behind New York … and more recently, just ahead of Chicago), and we are situated in between the financial capital of the world (NYC) as well as the political capital of the world (DC). Now that international money has spread to large metropolitan areas across the US, including Philadelphia, it stands to reason that Philadelphia will surely be offering more luxurious real estate options over the new few years. Remember, “location, location, location.”

2. “A New Kind of Business” (Trend #6): Over the years, Center City has focused more on residential development than on commercial development. Some say the reason is because of our business tax structure (it’s great to live in Philadelphia, but expensive to run a business in Philadelphia). While I agree with that theory, I don’t think it’s the only reason. While Philadelphia has some of the top universities in the world, retention was always an issue. People would come here for school, and then leave for a job. Nowadays, people are coming here for school and staying for a job. No large sign of this could be bigger than the highly anticipated Comcast Innovation + Technology Center. Not only will this new commercial building redefine our skyline, but it will bring with it modern architecture, new jobs, innovative and collaborative culture, and a Four Seasons Hotel located on the upper floors. Let’s not also forget the upcoming FMC Tower, anything and everything happening in University City, and the local tech/start-up scene. All of these elements are creating a new work environment for Philadelphia, and more opportunity for those who want to live here.

3. “The Changing Neighborhoods” (Trend #8): For someone who was raised in the suburbs for the first half of his life, but has resided in the city for the second half, I cannot agree more with this ever apparent trend. If one thing has changed drastically in Philadelphia over the past 20+ years, it has been life within its neighborhoods; as Philadelphia is known as a “City of Neighborhoods.” Historic homes have been rehabbed, new homes/buildings have been built, main streets have made a comeback, community groups are stronger than ever, planning is a part of daily life, and the state of Philadelphia’s public school system is the hottest topic in the city (which can only mean that residents want to make them better for their families). Neighborhoods that once fell on hard times (as jobs and residents left the city 50 years ago) have bounced back through public/private investment and civic pride. This post-inspired article highlights Point Breeze and Fishtown, but there are many more going through the same positive changes.

Call it what you want, “New Boom” or something different, there is no denying the fact that Philadelphia is experiencing many positive trends today. Whether you agree with these trends or not, hop on your local regional rail or bus route, take a ride downtown, and grab some dinner and drinks while you’re here.

It might just make you a believer.